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Pricing Decision Lite — Robust Price Selection Under Uncertainty

Live demo (embedded)


What you can do in the demo (30 seconds)

  1. Choose a data mode (Synthetic vs observational-mode workflow).
  2. Review the profit distribution across candidate prices.
  3. See the naïve optimum vs the robust (governed) recommendation.
  4. Inspect downside risk (e.g., low-quantile profit) and decision status:
  5. OPTIMIZE (deploy a robust price)
  6. HOLD (insufficient leverage / too fragile)
  7. NO-GO (no feasible price meets governance)

What this proves

  • The price that maximizes expected profit is often fragile under uncertainty.
  • Downside-aware governance changes decisions: it can shift the price or block deployment.
  • Pricing decisions are regime-conditional (clean synthetic assumptions ≠ noisy observational reality).

Decision logic (high level)

```mermaid flowchart TD A[Inputs: price grid, cost, demand model] --> B[Bootstrap uncertainty
elasticity + demand] B --> C[Profit distribution per price] C --> D{Governance checks
downside quantiles + thresholds} D -->|Pass| E[OPTIMIZE
choose robust price] D -->|Borderline| F[HOLD] D -->|Fail| G[NO-GO] ````


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